Should we eliminate mosquitoes? (Kill them. Kill them all?)

There's been some discussion in the columns of Nature recently concerning the possibility of eradication of mosquitoes. In an article entitled A World Without Mosquitoes, Janet Fang (1) presents a variety of opinions whether large-scale mosquito eradication is practical and if so whether such a course of action is desirable. In the latest issue of Nature, a collection of four letters revisit the controversy.So, there are two issues here: Can we?, and should we?[caption id="attachment_1044" align="alignleft" width="300" caption="Anopheles gambiae feeding"][/caption]Some years ago, I had a brief foray in to the world of the Anopheles gambiae species complex, an experience which was quite novel for me as my experiences had been with a very different and more docile fly, Drosophila melanogaster.  And for several years I maintained a colony of A. gambiae in my laboratory, which while not in itself particularly difficult was certainly quite arduous and one strain required considerably more commitment and care than keeping several hundred Drosophila strains. At that time, there was quite a deal of excitement about the prospects of driving transgenes through wild populations, using as a model the spread of P-elements through wild populations of D. melanogaster during the 20th century.  There have always been concerns about the extent to which the entities known as 'species' really are homogeneous populations with consistent gene flow through them across their range: certainly within the A. gambiae species complex, there appear to be 'incipient species' which represent fairly hefty gene flow barriers within the individual sibling species of the complex.One caveat would be that even if one could eliminate an entire species, or a species complex, what would fill the vacant niche?  A. gambiae may be the most significant malaria vector in sub-Saharan Africa, but there are others, that I guess could move in an colonise a vacant niche.  An argument for species control by transgenic means might be for eliminating a species that's newly colonised areas in which they haven't formerly been present: a good case might be if A. gambiae were to be introduced into South America.  More subtle interventions might be to introduce transgenes that impact on malaria parasite propagation within the mosquito: the downside would probably be that given the huge scale of the parasite population out there, somewhere there is likely to be parasites that can evade the introduced transgene.Sterile male release can be effective in controlling insect pests, but is really most effective where the female generally mates only once.  Drawbacks can include fitness of the males, either from irradiation used to sterilise them or because the laboratory-bred strains are uncompetitive in the wild.  Sophisticated technologies exist by which terile males can be made, so this may not be so major a hurdle in the future.Other, more traditional, methods of insect control are really very blunt instruments such as insecticide usage.  Obvious drawbacks would be collateral damage to other insect species, with the potential for massive ecological damage.  There are also health implications.  In the past, mosquito control by application of DDT was quite effective in Sri Lanka, then Ceylon, until over-enthusiatic and inappropriate use of DDT caused the appearance of DDT-resistant mosquitoes.  In the intervening years, malaria incidence had dropped, with the consequence that the resurgence of the disease as mosquito populations recovered was particularly severe (2).  I would be surprised if global eradication by insecticide would ever be approved.  And I cannot see a means by which wholesale eradication of many different mosquito species could be undertaken.  Fang's article provides a concise overview of the eradication/control techniques that have been tried in the past, and some that may be options in the future.In the context of should we eradicate mosquitoes, I'm really less well informed about the ecological implications of such a course.  Much of the online discussion seems to revolve around the ecological consequences of eliminating all mosquitoes, across all ecosystems, even in sub-Arctic tundra regions.  It would not be surprising to me if the ecological effects would be severe, but it also occurs to me that those consequences might well be unrecoverable. At the end of the article, Fang concludes that in her penultimate paragraph that:

Given the huge humanitarian and economic consequences of mosquito-spread disease, few scientists would suggest that the costs of an increased human population would outweigh the benefits of a healthier one. And the ‘collateral damage’ felt elsewhere in ecosystems doesn’t buy much sympathy either. The romantic notion of every creature having a vital place in nature may not be enough to plead the mosquito’s case. It is the limitations of mosquito-killing methods, not the limitations of intent, that make a world without mosquitoes unlikely.
The conclusions seems to be that (a) we couldn't do it, but that (b) if we could, we should, and it wouldn't make much difference ecologically.  Well, actually, I'd rather not try the ecological experiment![caption id="attachment_1045" align="alignnone" width="500" caption="Sabethes sp. mosquito"][/caption][caption id="" align="alignleft" width="269" caption="Sabethes cyaneus"][/caption]And anyway, would the world really be better without the beauty pictured above, a species in the genus SabethesSabethes species are often regarded as the "butterflies" of the mosquito world, frequently bearing brightly coloured or iridescent paddles on their legs.Here's another image (left), this time of a couple of Sabethes cyaneus, from the BBC website (click on the image for the full-size version).Finally, I've scanned in a plate (below) from F. V. Theobald's Monograph of the Culicidae or Mosquitoes, published in 1901 by the British Musem (Natural History) - The Plates volume.  These are (from left to right) Megarhinus inornatus (male), M. inornatus (female), M. separatus and M. immisericors.[caption id="attachment_1048" align="alignnone" width="708" caption="Megarhinus species (click for full size image)"][/caption]1.  Janet Fang (2010) Ecology: A world without mosquitoes Nature 466; 432-434 . doi:10.1038/466432a2.  Gordon Harrison (1978)  Mosquitoes, Malaria and Man, Chapter 26 Pub John Murray (record at Amazon.com)via ScribeFire

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Preparation for the Duo Normand; Soundtrack of my training 24/8/10

I've blogged a preview of this year's Duo Normand two-up team time trial (2010 Duo Normand Preview) - and about a week or two ago, I began thinking about ramping up the training for the event.  I've been something of an afficionado of Pete Read's turbo training manual - The Annual Manual a.k.a. The Black Book. This presents a straightforward and progressive month by month training programme.  It's safe to say this was behind my time trialling successes of 2000-2003.  Since then, as I think I've written, my ability to stick to a programme of training has been compromised by the demands of the day job. Over the time I was following the programme, I found I was able to fine-tune and tweak the programme to suit my strengths and weaknesses.  this was made easier by the collection of turbo training sessions that Pete Read presented in The White Book. [Apologies for the lack of web links to Pete Read, but last time I looked, his web presence had vanished]So the programme I've adopted sees me fitting in some turbo sessions of short hard intervals around longer low intensity road rides and some time trials (I have a '50' on 5/9/10 and a '10' on 12/9/10, the two weekends before the Duo Normand itself.  This morning's session was a set of 10 x 1 minute intervals at slightly higher than race pace, with 1 minute recoveries.  Quite a difficult session, albeit quite brief.  This, coupled with another variant, are progressive as I approach the Duo: in one case by doing more intervals, in the other by extending from 1' to 2' to 3' (and so forth) intervals.  I think these, together with the remaining time trials in my season will be enough to peak for the Duo, ideally with a few days easy beforehand. This morning's music accompaniment was provided by Acid Mothers Temple and the Melting Paraiso UFO.  This unlikely sounding mob are a Japanese psychedelic inprovisational group, and the album in question was Absolutely Freak Out (Zap Your Mind!). Even more unlikely than its applicability to an interval session is its cover, pictured right (click to link to Amazon).  Still, it provided an amusing distraction as I pounded away in the garage at 6am this morning!  (The music, not the cover).  It's something of a celebration that the iPod is now behaving itself, and scrobbling to last.fm.

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2010 Duo Normand preview

Team Grumpy have been riding the Duo Normand since 2003, only missing one year since then. We've had quite good placings in that time, either in the Veteran or Corporate categories. We came second in the corporate category last year, but that doesn't quite indicate the magnitude of the whipping we got from the winners! The Duo Normand website has started listing riders registered to ride. At the moment there are only two teams in the Corporatif category, one being Team Grumpy. Plenty of time for more entries to flood in, though. So is there anything to be said in a preview for this event?Well, we're staying near Cerisy La Salle - in the same location as last year - though our travel plans will preclude any significant 2-up technique practice before the event. And Team Grumpy's 2-up outings this season have been less than stellar (the Port Talbot Wheelers 2-up ‘25′ and the Icknield 32k). I guess we're just hoping that we've done it so long that we'll just fall naturally back into the swing of things.As usual, we'll take the opportunity to do a little exploration of the Normandy countryside on our tandem, see for example 2008 and 2009, enjoying the local food and drink, particularly the moules et frites, a particular favourite of mine.  And of course, drinking freely of the Team Grumpy official energy drink.Finally, for those who've never ridden the Duo Normand and want to see what the course is like from the rider's perspective, can I recommend the world's most unlikely video, which we dubbed Silent Movie.  This was recorded on a small video camera mounted on Gerry's handlebars.Here are our previous performances:2009 - CorporatifsWe may have been second, but just look at that margin!  The BikeRadar team of Jones and Coomber came flying past us...and can be seen in the video of the event.1 COOMBER Robin - JONES Jeff 01:15:222 ORAM Gerard - SAUNDERS Robert 01:25:022008 - CorporatifsBy 2008, Gerry had persuaded me to switch to the Corporatifs category.  Not entirely sure why, but the effect is to ride at a better time of day than the Unlicenced and Veteran categories.  Also the Veterans category has no handicapping.  The guys who won rode a storming race, particularly since they didn't look much like time triallists and were riding road bikes with clip on extensions.

2651LENOIR Alexis - LEGRIX Benoit01:15:55
2632ORAM Gerard - SAUNDERS Robert01:22:28
2007 - no ride2006 - VeteranImproved to second place, will less then a minute between Team Grumpy and the winners!  As far as I recall, this was the only year so far (touch wood) that we've raced in inclement weather.  It was also a weekend break in Normandy rather than a holiday.
2171MAYMAN David - HARRIS Mike01:22:44
2192SAUNDERS Robert - ORAM Gerard01:23:11
2005 - VeteranUp to fourth place in 2005...
2041HARRIS Michael - MARK Wunsch01:20:37
2022LE MAITRE Graham - DOWN Patrick01:21:51
2223CHAPLIN Lee - GRIFFITHS David01:23:08
2104ORAM Gerard - SAUNDERS Robert01:23:15
2004 - VeteranOn this occasion, we crept up the ranking to 5th place, and the margins between the top five riders were rather respectable.
2601HARRIS Mike - GREIG Steve01:20:05
2462FOX Paul - JARDINE Stuart01:20:28
2593DODKINS Alan - ROBINSON Ray01:21:10
2664BIGREL Pierrick - LECHARPENTIER Gilbert01:21:40
2645SAUNDERS Robert - ORAM Gerard01:22:18
2003 -VeteranThis was the infamous year of the cramp, when Gerry cramped up mid-race.  We'd been doing pretty well till that point.  Nonetheless, our first outing at the Duo was excellent fun.
2381JONES MARK - GERAN STEVE01:18:55
2142FOX PAUL - JARDINE STEWART01:19:38
2133WOODBURN JOHN - IDDLES ROGER01:20:59
2054LECHARPENTIER GILBERT - BIGREL PIERRICK01:22:05
2315DICKASON PETER - COOPER RUSSELL01:22:28
2336GALLIENNE DAVID - GARNHAM MICHAEL01:22:29
2037GRACE STUART - DONKIN ALAN01:22:54
2248MCMILLAN JOHN - LOVATT SIDNEY01:23:15
2069SAUNDERS ROBERT - ORAM GERARD01:24:01

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iPod, iTunes, Rhythmbox: latest skirmishes in the war...

Played around a bit more with synchronising music files to my iPod (now on OS 4.0.2).  I have started using the iTunes installed on my new Desktop PC (Dual boot Win7/Ubuntu10.04), so at least iTunes works a bit better (but for a product from a company that claims excellence in user interfaces, I do think it rather poor).  Anyway, the upshot seems to be that Rhythmbox can play music files from the iPod, can copy music files over to the iPod, but not update the database properly - hopefully new packages will soon be available to cope with this).  So the end result of all my efforts was to clog up the storage on the iPod with invisible (to the iPod, anyway) music files.  I set the iPod up to rscrub and reload music, which took several hours, into the early hours of the morning.

So, to continue with the military metaphors of recent posts, this ongoing skirmish still seeks resolution.

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Stony Stratford '11.4' 18/8/10 - too much turbo...

Astonishingly, we evaded the worst prognostications of the BBC weather forecast, as none of the forecast rain showers hit us during this time trial.  On the other hand the outward leg was rendered rather uncomfortable by a stiff headwind.  In recent weeks, our colleagues at TeamMK had faced hostility from residents in a nearby village - tonight we were visited at the start by a slightly grumpy resident of Stony Stratford, who objected to us starting a time trial there.  In discussions about the first incident, I'm afraid I was a bit didactic - but I feel pretty strongly about our rights as cyclists!Being polite time trial types, we delayed the start for a bit while a horse (and rider!) cleared the start area - I was off last on a pretty small start list of 11 riders, and was irritated by a display snarl-up on my bike computer an while this only distracted me for a short while, it did leave me uncertain as to my progress.  This course is far from being a favourite of mine, principally because of the combination of rough surfaces and the climb to the turn.  On this occasion, I really suffered, dropping to around 12mph at times (unless my blurred vision was deceiving me).Of course it was correspondingly good returning down hill, but as ever, it never fully compensates for the tough outward leg. I finished with 28:09, which was about right for the rubbish legs I had this evening.  In the bigger scheme of things, I began my build up for the Duo Normand a week or so ago - the Duo is on the 19th September.  This has involved significant turbo training, and with hindsight, perhaps 40 or so miles on the turbo the day before this event might not have been the wisest course of action.  However, in my own defence, I was treating tonight's time trial as part of that build-up.Anyway, results below.  Particular congratulations to Lindz Barral who pulled out the stops to finish less than half a minute behind Tony.

Pos. on
PosNoNameClubTimeCatVets Std.+ / -Vets Std
110Tony ParksNBRC26.44V4530.29.+ 3.453
26Lindz Barrali-Team.CC27.12S
37Chris DunwoodieTeamMK27.24S
411Robert SaundersNBRC28.09V5031.41.+ 3.325
55Trevor HookTeamMK28.28V5232.11.+ 3.434
63John BuchananTeamMK28.35V4029.20.+ 0.457
79Robert ChaundyTeamMK29.55V5833.44.+ 3.492
82Clive FaineTeamMK30.05V6435.22.+ 5.171
98Paul HolmesBedfordshire Road CC31.30S
101Alan LawsonNBRC33.38V4229.47.- 3.518
114Gordon BatcockNBRC34.11V7037.06.+ 2.556

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I fought iTunes, and iTunes won!

Just a brief addendum to the previous posting about iTunes, iPod Touch and Rhythmbox.  Since then, I've ended up with updating iTunes on two PCs.  I intended to shift everything to the new Win7 PC (though in truth I rarely boot it into Windows), as I though its higher spec might enable iTunes to run at some speed other than glacial.Anyway, I tried updating my iPod to iOS 4.0.2 with the new computer and it threw up some cryptic message about losing all my downloaded apps.  So back to the antiquated laptop, where I bit the bullet and went through the whole rigmarole again.  I really don't know why I'm compelled to install Quicktime, nor do I understand why an application which exists solely to manage a bunch of files on a device connected by USB comes as a download of around 95Mb.I'm pleased to report that the iPod ugrade, while going at a bit of a snail's pace appears to have worked.  Disappointing that the voice memo app is still there (given that as far as I know, iPods have no microphone.  I can see visual changes throughout, particularly in the music player.And the app that started me down this road - iScrobble Premium?  It seems to work better under iOS4.  Next up, to try pairing the iPod with Rhythmbox.  I came across this tech site with instructions on updating a bunch of stuff related to allowing Rhythmbox to sync with iPods running iOS4.  So the battle with iTunes may have been lost, but I've got my eye on the outcome of the war...

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Rhythmbox vs iTunes vs last.fm

I've had an iPod Touch for some time now (it's one of the 2G versions, with 32Gb storage), and the device is exactly what I need - something to play music from, to access my email & calendar, and to run a few apps.  I don't often use it for twittering or blogging or browsing the web,  What I don't particularly like is iTunes, for which I have to boot into Windows (and it's one of the few things I would be using Windows for), it's always seemed rather clunky to use.  In fact, because until recently Windows PCs were in rather short supply in my house, I've been running iTunes on a small partition on a dual boot laptop, with the actual music files on a USB hard drive.So.  The latest version of Ubuntu (10.04) uses Rhythmbox as its default music player, and this (it turns out) can work neatly with an iPod Touch.  At last!  I can add and remove music without going near iTunes.  I've since bought and uploaded several albums.  Now, I like to scrobble my listening to last.fm - so how to do that?  Well, not problem when playing music from the iPod through Rhythmbox as there's a scrobbler plugin.I noticed there was an app in the App store, iScrobble Premium (there's also an advert-filled free version).  Being rather tight, I thought I'd install the free version to try out.  I decided the purchase price of the premium version was worthwhile, so I did so.  Well here's where my problems started, as I decided to hook the iPod up to iTunes to remove the free iScrobbler app (and one or two other apps).Booted up the WinXP laptop, plugged in USB hard drive , started iTunes.  Nothing appeared to be untoward.  I removed some apps from the iPod, and did a sync.  Some warning messages appeared, which seemed a bit confusing.  I did notice that the space consumed on the iPod seemed a bit reduced.  Only later, when all the cover artwork had disappeared from my iPod did I suspect a problem: it turned out the USB hard drive hadn't been recognised by the laptop.  Ho hum, I thought, I'll remount the drive, restart iTunes and re-sync the iPod.  Well, that took a few hours, and at the end about half the artwork was incorrectly associated with albums.So now I've removed all the music, and I'm re-syncing once again to see if that will cure the problem.  Hope so, this is going to take some time!Update: well that sorted the artwork.  Now to wrestle with iScrobbler!Update 2: tried using iScrobbler, and all the artwork vanished!Update 3:  reloading all the music. Again!

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Rupert Murdoch's interesting internet experiment

At the beginning of July, Rupert Murdoch's press empire moved to charge for access to The Times and The Sunday Times web sites. Up to now, this has been at a charge of £1 for a day's access, or £2 for a week's access.  Perhaps I'm just a cheapskate, but when I'm referred to these sites I decline to pay to read it, moving on to other sites.  I was interested to see that Media Week has some interesting statistics on the effect of the new paywall strategy (Times loses 1.2 million readers - Media news - Media Week). The numbers are quite startling:

News International launched its separate Thetimes.co.uk and Thesundaytimes.co.uk websites on 25 May. It made registration compulsory and began redirecting users from the old site on 15 June and started charging for access to both sites on 2 July.According to ComScore, the combined number of unique visitors to the two new sites has fallen to 1.61 milion in July, from 2.22 million in June, and 2.79 million in May.The average number of minutes each user spent on the site was 7.6 in May, 5.8 in June and 4 in July.Page views have dropped from 29 million in May to 20 million in June and 9 million in July.
I imagine that this reflects the casual page viewers such as me choosing not to pay to read a page they're not absolutely desperate to view.  On the one hand one could view this as a huge drop in web page visitors, but as Jack of Kent pointed out via Twitter, one could view this as a gain of 1.6 million paying visitors.  I guess it remains to be seen how advertisers react to this, and whether any decline in advertising revenue is more than made up for by the subscription income.It seems that some newspapers are banking on the appearance on internet/media consumption devices such as the iPad, and the soon to be launched competitors running on Linux-related and Windows-related operating systems to reinvigorate the newspaper business.  But it seems to me that the joy of newspaper browsing on the web is that I can collect views from across the political spectrum of newspapers, while only buying into one.  What's interesting is that the readers don't appear to have defected to other newspapers' websites: presumably supporting my supposition that the deflected readers are casual browsers rather than dedicated readers.Personally, I think that it's too early to conclude anything from the data available to date - I expect executives over at News International are poring over the figures in quite some detail.  After all page view numbers aren't the only statistic in town.

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Beds Road CC Charity '25' - Oh no, another comedy of errors!

After Wednesday's puncture, I inspected the rear tyre on Saturday evening, and decided to ditch it in favour of a new Velofex Record in view of the number of cuts I could see.  I popped in an equally unused Vittoria inner tube.  On Sunday morning I topped up the tyres with a bit more air, and noticed that I'd snapped off the threaded nut off the valve core.  Oh, well I thought - at least the air that's in will stay there.  Well, so I thought, but this was merely the prelude to a comedic series of minor disasters that afflicted my ride in today's '25'.The weather was OK, though a little autumnal with a light and lifting mist.  More annoying was the rising north wind that promised assistance on the southbound outward leg of the course, but would be correspondingly troublesome on the return leg.  Tony and I had travelled over, very conveniently our start times were only five minutes apart - I was #21, Tony #26.  Not too bad a start, reasonably warm as I lined up.  At the appointed moment I departed, quite briskly, off to the roundabout and slip road to join the A1 southbound from Tempsford.  I even negotiated the potholes at the little flyover roundabout.  The wind wasn't giving me as much help as I'd expected, as I proceeded south through Girtford and across the Sandy roundabout, where I unfortunately got slowed by traffic.On again, and safely and cleanly across the next roundabout.  I was feeling pretty good, and reeling in riders ahead of me when I became aware of the bumping so characteristic of a rear wheel puncture.  Groaning to myself, I pulled into the slip road of the BP garage just short of the Baldock roundabout turn (so about 12 miles from the race HQ).  Well, I thought, at least I brought a tube and gas inflater along with me (which had amused Tony no end back at Tempsford).  I removed the wheel, which is a pretty dirty business with the Cervelo due to the rear facing dropouts, and started effecting a repair.  I saw Tony come by, and he shouted that he'd come and pick me up in the car.Nevertheless, I decided to carry on with the repair, not least because is was something to do!  I got the tyre off and removed the tube.  Popped in the replacement tube and refitted the tyre.  Next I tried inflating the tyre with the single CO2 cylinder I had for the inflator.  This proved an unmitigated disaster - it was hard to use the inflater chuck on the trispoke (but this reflects cack-handedness rather than an inherent problem), and the inflater chuck had come apart in my seatpack.  Once all that was sorted, I proceeded to contribute to global warming by releasing the entire cylinder contents into the atmosphere.  At least Tony was coming to rescue me.Which he did, having ridden to a 56:28 result.  Back to the HQ to have a cup of tea and see what other riders had managed.  Matt Bottrill looked to be the clear winner with 50:52, an astonishing performance and indicative of good chances for a placing at the forthcoming British Time Trial Championship in three weeks' time.Postscript.  Back home I went to pump up the repaired rear tyre, only to find the tube was defective and wouldn't hold even a smidgen of air.  So the CO2 would have all dissipated even had I got the inflater attached correctly.

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Home Alone + Wet Weather = Website Overhaul

So there I was, on my own with plans to get out on the bike somewhat thwarted by heavy rain showers, and very much at a loose end.  So I took it upon myself to tidy up this website.I've checked over the menu links, which now all seem to be properly functional.  I deleted some that were merely hangovers from a prior incarnation.  A few new menu items were added.In the Main Menu:

  • Recently Played Music - now links to a page with information from my Last.FM page, in turn derived from audioscrobbling from my Squeezebox (so it doesn't include CDs and LPs that I play, not anything I listen to on the iPod
  • Books from my Library - links to a widget from LibraryThing that scans through my library 25 books at a time, randomly selected.  This replaces a sidebar module that used to show books currently being read, but which was usually out of date.
  • About flies&bikes - explains abit about the websites I maintain.
In the Research menu:
  • Recent Publications - properly integrates a feed from an institutional publication repository.
  • Why Study fruit flies? - link now works!
In the Cycling Menu:
  • Links tidied up to point to a new browser window/tab.
  • Added link to the Team Grumpy website.
This may all seem rather insignificant, but it's not only a job that I've been putting off, but some of the pages were quite a fiddle to set up.  In particular embedding the last.fm and LibraryThing widgets required Jumi modules to be embedded in Joomla! articles.

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